ROIC Growth Formula

The ROIC growth formula relies on evaluating return on invested capital (also known as ROIC) as a way of looking at stocks that helps smart value investors find good stocks to buy.  First let’s look at what is return on invested capital, then we’ll examine why companies with comparatively large values of this key performance indicator tend to outperform their competition over time (and make good value investment candidates).

The first step in the ROIC growth formula is understanding how to calculate ROIC for the companies that you are thinking about investing in, so here is the formula:

(Net Operating Profit After Taxes) / (Invested Capital)

Now there are a couple of things that must be noted about this formula.  First, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)is not the same thing as net income.  Net income counts money that a company receives from all sources, whereas NOPAT is derived from the sales that a business makes from the ongoing operations of its main business.  Some of the revenue that is not included in NOPAT are things like interest income from cash and cash equivalents (short term securities like T-Bills), and rent from real estate that the company may own, but sub-leases to other businesses because it is not currently needed by the company.  These types of revenue, that are not from sales of the companies main products and services, add noise to what we are seeking – a clear view of the company’s operating efficiency – so we take them out of the equation.  The second thing that we have to consider is that invested capital is not just equity (like what is used in return on equity (ROE) calculations), but also includes long term debt that is used to grow and sustain the business.

The ROIC growth formula is fairly simple – calculate the return on invested capital for the companies in the industry group you are considering investing in, identify the company with the highest value of this indicator, then buy it when it gets to a good price.  By comparing the return on invested capital values of companies in the same industry, the one with the highest return is likely to either continue dominating the industry, or, if it is not already dominating its industry, should outperform the industry over time.  If you think about it, the company with the highest return on invested capital is yielding a higher percentage of profit for every dollar invested in the company - either by equity share holders or debt bond holders.  The competitive advantage that allows a company to earn these higher than industry average returns are usually due to a dominating position in the market place, which makes it possible for them to charge more for their product or service relative to their cost, which leaves other companies in the sector competing based on price discounting (and lower margins).  Over time, this sustained competitive advantage allows the company with higher returns on invested capital to grow faster than its competition, which drives its stock price higher.

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Value stock investing is an investment strategy that looks for stocks which are undervalued when compared to a value you calculate with various fundamental analysis indicators.  While the description may sound a little complicated, you will see that with a little practice, fundamental analysis for value stock investing is not as difficult as it sounds, in fact, with readily available online tools, finding good value stocks is easy.

First a little history – value stock investing was popularized by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, and their 1934 book, Security Analysis, remains popular to this day – many bookstores still stock this one on their shelves.  Famous investors like Warren Buffet and Mario Gabelli have made fortunes using the value stock investing strategy to find under priced stocks to buy.

Value stock investors look for stocks with strong fundamental characteristics, such as business revenue growth, cash flow, earnings growth, book value, and cash flow.  All of these items, and more, are found on company’s quarterly and annual reports.  The key is finding stocks that sell at a bargain price vs. their underlying quality based on these fundamental metrics.  Value stock investors constantly seek out companies that are currently incorrectly valued (i.e. undervalued) by the stock market and therefore have the potential to increase in share price when the market corrects its error in valuation.  Some good value stocks pay higher dividend yields due to their lower price relative to the dividend that they pay (there are even monthly dividend stocks that fall inot this category).

Since value stocks are under priced, this means that they are out of favor with the market, which makes value stock investors contrarians by definition.  Buying value stocks can, at times, be tough psychologically, because in many cases, you are buying companies or industries that are receiving a lot of negative press.  Right now there are companies and industries that you can read about in the news, where nearly every article you read in the business press, or every story about them you watch on television, is very negative.  As I write this article in Spring, 2009, there is a recession in full swing, with banks, housing stocks, and REITs all being whacked the most by the business media.  These are the types of areas where value stock investors are prospecting for good companies with good fundamantal characteristics, that are having their stock prices dragged down with the rest of the companies in their industry.  A good tool for determining if a stock is undervalued is to look at it’s earnings yield.

With the tools, resources, and articles posted on this website, value stock investing will become another tool for you to use in your successful online investing activities.

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